- Written by
Major League Jerk
- Posted May 12, 2008 at 6:45 pm

From time to time we will be taking a look at some of the few bright spots on bad teams or highlight guys who deserve more recognition than they are currently getting. To kick off the series, who better than Tim Lincecum? The only reason I’m not starting with Edinson Volquez or Aaron Harang is because they’ve gotten some run lately. We’ll get back to them later in the year.
If he didn’t play for the Giants or look like the main character from Kids then maybe he might get more run, but he does on both counts so there’s really no getting past it. Lincecum has the second best ERA in the league behind Volquez in eight more innings of work.
Lincecum is only 23 years old (he’ll be 24 next month) and he is simply dominating the competition. And consider this: his BABIP is high (.321) right now so there’s a chance that he could get even better as the season goes on and that reverts to the mean. Volquez’s BABIP is .287.
Another amazing sign that this isn’t a fluke: Lincecum’s K/9 rate is 9.48 which is great but the fact that he doesn’t rack up a lot of walks either (3.22 BB/9) is a real testament to his control. To put it in context, Nolan Ryan’s career K/9 was 9.7 but his BB/9 was 5.0. When Ryan was 23 his rates were 8.8 and 6.7 respectively. A high strikeout to walks ratio is a giant signifier that this kid isn’t going anywhere.
And it’s not like his record is poor. He’s sitting at 5-1 which should get the traditional stat guys to take a look at him. In his eight starts so far this season, he’s given up 3 ERs only once and suffered a 3-2 loss to the Rockies. In his two no decisions this year, he gave up 1ER and 0ER. If his team had any offense in them whatsoever (15th out of 16 in the NL), he could be 8-0.
He needs to improve his GB/FB ratio, especially when he’s on the road, but considering that he’s not giving up a ton of homeruns, it shouldn’t be an issue so far. He’s got an HR/FB ration of 6.4%. Roy Oswalt’s ratio is 25% (?!?).
Again, if this kid’s team didn’t suck so much (the Giants are 16-22 in what is arguably the worst division in baseball), Lincecum would be a star.