With news that Walt Jocketty is rumored to be willing to deal Homer
Bailey and one other player for Jermaine Dye, I feel it may be
informative to look at how valuable Dye actually is.
He’s coming off of a very productive 2008 with the stick, so he would
definitely help the Reds’ offense. Bill James and Marcel project wOBAs
of .358 and .356, respectively. Per 500 PAs. That translates to 10
runs above average. However, players of Dye’s age require a playing
time discount, which I’m conservatively calling 20%. That gives him an
offensive projection of 8 runs above average.
As for defense, Chone projects Dye as -6 runs as a corner outfielder.
For a position adjustment, give Dye -7.5 runs as a corner OF.
Lastly, Dye gets a 25 run replacement level boost for playing in the AL.
Added up, Dye projects to be a 19.5 run above replacement player, or
roughly 2 wins above replacement (WAR).
On the open market Dye would be worth 2*$4.84 million, or $9.7
million. His 2009 salary is $11.5 million. The Reds shouldn’t even be
interested in Dye IF THE WHITE SOX GAVE HIM TO US. Adding in two
prospects makes this the easiest “Just Say NO!” decision of the
offseason.
Don’t do it, Walt. A smart team never would. Let’s be smart.
quiet ’round here.
mm-hmm.
/spits
I’d give Homer Bailey away though. He sucks.
you chaw’in, spence? I thought you quit, no?
sure…give him away, just not for jermaine dye. fuck jermaine dye. he sucks.
he’s good for one fraudy year out of 4. and he’s old so he’s probably not gonna be around in 3 years.
quit for a hot minute…didn’t last. i missed the pain.
I guess you don’t quit chaw; chaw quits you?
i hope not…one of these days it’d be nice to quit.
fortunately i don’t put it in the same spot everytime and take really good care of my teeth, but still…something’s bound to happen eventually. but right now, i just fuckin love it.
Even if you think Homer can’t start because he only has 2 pitches, he’d provide more equity as a potential relief ace than Dye ever could (Dye will provide negative equity).
I’m not saying trade Homer for Dye, I’m saying take him to the Ohio River and drown him.
Nick, did you know that around here in Chicago, there are White Sox fans who would be pissed if Kenny Williams traded Jermaine Dye or Bobby Jenks?
What’s the lesson? I’m not sure.
Oh wait yes I am. People are stupid.
I fully endorse a Jermaine Dye for Homer Bailey trade.
He’s not a bad player, Happy. Just overpaid.
I agree people are stupid.
This is not going to happen.
And I just bookmarked this because Tampa was wrong. I like remembering all the wrong things people say.
If the White Sox are dumb enough to accept that worthless head-trip loser for a proven RH hitter with the ability to catch a ball, I would think Walt and Bob should be dancing for joy.
So what if Dye had a salary of $100000 million? He’d still be better than Homer?
Where’s the line, Glenn Ritchie?
(If that’s your real name)
Im bookmarking this because hef sucks baby dicks.
No he doesn’t, Tampa. Hef’s awesome