As has been chronicled here and elsewhere, cortes of City of Champions and myself have a bet over who will get more wins this year, the Mets or the Marlins. The winner invades the other guys blog and causes all sorts of chaos and destruction. There will also be punch and pie. Well, as cortes was writing up a few choice words about the greatness of the U’s legal team, Jeff Conine’s Hall of Fame chances, and who will replace Dwayne Wade after he joins the Knicks in 2010 (we all know LeBron will be a Net, it’s science) something funny happened. A team of such strength, such perseverance, such wonderment put on a Tatisian effort and has won 9 straight games and counting. The Mets are on fire. The Marlins not so much. So let’s look at the records of these two teams the last time we checked in on this all important bet:

As of July 11th:

Marlins 48-44

Mets 48-44

Nice and even there. The Marlins had slid back. The Mets had caught up. cortes still felt as if he had a chance. Well, what are we looking at now as we go into the unofficial second half of the Major League season:

As of July 17th

Mets 51-44

Marlins 50-45

That my friends is an unbelievable happening. The Mets ahead in this bet. Why is that so unbelievable? Well. let’s look at the standings at the start of this thing:

When the bet was made on June 18th it was:

Florida 38-33

Mets 34-36

Now, am I celebrating my victory early? No. But am I feeling pretty good about my chances? Absolutely. Over the last 10 games the Mets were 9-1. The Marlins 6-4. Let us look ahead at the next week.The Mets have a 4 game set with the Cincinnati Queens and all-star disappointment Edinson Volquez. After that, a tough three game set at home against the Phillies and three more with the Cardinals, also at Shea. The Marlins have three this weekend at home against the Phillies, another three with the ice cold Atlanta Braves and then travel to Chicago to face the Cubs for four games as a drunken sportsgal flashes the crowd and tells people to kill themselves. Good Times. All of this is a set up for the three game Armageddon in Miami as the Mets go down there to face a Marlin team most likely on a 10 game losing streak. I am so looking forward to it.

One more thing about the Marlins. They will not win this division and they will not make the playoffs. Why do you I say this? Because I watched one of their most important players shit the bed in the spotlight. Dan Uggla gave me hope that this team will fade. If he can’t hold his own in an exhibition with other really good players, you can’t tell me he can rise to the occasion and be the man when this team needs him to be just that. Trust me. I know a lot about watching a team choke. Dan Uggla’s spotty defense and inability to get a run home from third base with less than two outs is something I am all too familiar with. Now, I am not claiming a World Series title either. Dan Uggla would not have been able to show off his awfulness if it wasn’t for the Alpaca Farmer that moonlights as the Met closer. But cortes is going to need Dan Uggla a lot more than I am going to need Billy Wagner to win this bet. And since that is what this silliness is all about. I feel really good about my chances.

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